Mobility is the lifeblood of our cities - Seamless Mobility
Thursday, 6 April 2017
The last of the three mobility trajectories - Seamless Mobility
This is the most radical departure from today’s reality. In the near term, it is likeliest to emerge in densely populated, high-income cities such as Chicago, Hong Kong, London, and Singapore.
In this system, mobility is predominantly door to door and on demand. Travelers have many clean, cheap, and flexible ways to get around, and the boundaries among private, shared, and public transport are blurred. Mobility is delivered through a combination of self-driving, shared vehicles, with high-quality public transit as the backbone.
EVs become far more common, spurred by economics, consumer interest, incentives, and the creation of low-emission zones. And all this is enabled through the use of smart software platforms that manage multimodal traffic flows and deliver mobility as a service.
In a seamless-mobility system, people would potentially travel more—likely by 20 to 50 percent—because it is cheap and easy. However, the number of cars would likely remain the same or decline, due to the high level of sharing and significantly higher utilisation. EVs could account for as many as two-thirds of vehicles on the road, while those capable of self-driving may exceed 40 percent.
Due to the high level of sharing, the vehicle parc in a European or North American city stops growing despite the increase in passenger miles. Nonetheless, it is possible that more miles driven may still lead to more or at least constant congestion in urban bottlenecks. In this future system, the penetration of EVs and self-driving vehicles could reach levels far beyond what is achievable globally.
From 'An integrated perspective on the future of mobility' by McKinsey & Company and Bloomberg New Energy Finance - October 2016